STATS

Explain this, as of 4 6 April:

219,564 residents in Jackson County; 2133 2269 tests; 33 confirmed cases, still no dead

346,868 residents in Marion County; 1567 1716 tests; 188 198 confirmed cases, 5 dead

In Jackson county, as of 4 April, Oregon had managed to complete 1 test for each 102 residents.

In Marion county, Oregon had tested 1 in 221 people. Yet Marion has many more cases and five people have died.

In our most populous county, Multnomah, as of 6 April there have been 4209 4603 people tested with 209 233 confirmed cases and six seven dead. There are 811,880 people in Multnomah County, which means Oregon had tested only 1 on 193 176 people in our most densely populated county, but six seven have already died.

There are 3,831,074 people in Oregon, 18,925 19,556 have been tested (one person in 202 195), and 999 1068 are confirmed positive, 27 have died.

What’s the deal with Jackson County? And while I’m at it, what’s the deal with that person with Marin County, California plates shopping at the local grocery?

Yeah, I should be nicer, but Gary says my mother would be proud of me: “Going through everything, trying too make sense of the puzzle. That’s what your mother did.” It’s true, Mom cared about numbers and fairness.

 

SCHEDULE

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The first few times a juvenile eagle lands on shore they stand around for several minutes (up to an hour). I always assume they are unhappy to be wet and to be forced to launch from flat sand.

Today, a walk creek to creek, a juvenile eagle, meditation on the value of lies, and a little brainstorming to prepare for Monday’s writing assignment. The best one is above, the lies below. So brainstorming.

Monday’s nonfiction writing assignment was a great favorite with my students, the assignment they completed early in the year and which they still loved by the end. It will be satirical and more than a little silly. It concerns a trivial annoyance.

Continue reading →

update on BLUETONGUE

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The photo has nothing to do with any disease. This is a beaching of many thousands of tiny Velella vellella. They can grow to be a few inches long, but these are as small as the head of a pin.

I posted a few days ago about my friend who, years ago, was accidentally infected by bluetongue, a disease she was studying in sheep. She insisted that she could not possibly have the disease, but that she certainly had the antibodies in her blood. The disease of cloven-hoofed mammals, was not supposed to infect humans at all. But it did.

Not that it matters all that much to most of us just now where covid19 originated, but it seems that deliberate release has been ruled out, but an accidental one has not. Pangolins apparently have little to no part in this disease—it’s bats. Covid19 is derived from a coronavirus infecting bats. Here’s the catch: there were no bats in the seafood market where the disease supposedly first appeared. A wild bat might have infected someone in the market, of course, but more troubling is that nearby was a lab studying coronavirus in bats. Again, there is absolutely no one (outside of the wackjob conspiracy theorists) who believes it was released deliberately on human populations. It’s more likely someone was either very unlucky or simply careless.

“Richard Ebright, a Rutgers microbiologist and biosafety expert, told me in an email that ‘the first human infection could have occurred as a natural accident,’ with the virus passing from bat to human, possibly through another animal. But Ebright cautioned that it ‘also could have occurred as a laboratory accident, with, for example, an accidental infection of a laboratory worker.’ He noted that bat coronaviruses were studied in Wuhan at Biosafety Level 2, ‘which provides only minimal protection,’ compared with the top BSL-4.” —The Washington Post, 2 April 2020

With over a quarter of a million Americans already diagnosed with covid19, having a look at how this started is going to matter in the future if we have any hope of surviving a repeat. (A reminder the the great influenza pandemic of 1918-19, the so-called “Spanish Flu,” was not from Spain and may have started in Kansas. Troop movements spread it all over the world. According to the CDC: “It is estimated that about 500 million people or one-third of the world’s population became infected with this virus. The number of deaths was estimated to be at least 50 million worldwide with about 675,000 occurring in the United States.”)

 


source: “How Did Covid-19 Begin? Its Initial Origin Story Is Suspect” by David Ignatius

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/global-opinions/how-did-covid-19-begin-its-initial-origin-story-is-shaky/2020/04/02/1475d488-7521-11ea-87da-77a8136c1a6d_story.html?

#2 REVISION

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You might have guessed because my post yesterday is already halfway there. (Or, like a family member who read it, decide that this assignment is all too sad.) If you wrote a list of things you lost, today write what you found. You can write it as a talk-back to the lost list, interleave what’s lost and found (as I did), or take it all the way (as I intend to do) and replace the lost with what is found.

I keep thinking of more things I found:

The dawn chorus.

Cumin, cardamom, and chipotle powder in my cooking, that cinnamon tastes different when it’s from Vietnam, and that turmeric does more than make commercial mustard yellow.

Caramelized onions.

Algebra.

Coffee.

My husband.

Running!

Crow quills. (The tiny dip pen points used by Edward Gorey.)

Edward Gorey, who illustrated to scale.

Aagah, who came to us completely wild, when she jumped the seven foot wall and I chased her for two miles and found her at the edge of the old reservoir, miserable in the rain, and after that she trusted me.

The maze of Knossos, the architecture of Gaudi, the paintings of Artemisia Gentileschi. Hagia Sophia.

How to knit many colors from Kaffe Fassett.

Color.

 by Edward Gorey (By Source (WP:NFCC#4), Fair use, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?curid=35531939)

 

 

LOST & FOUND

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I am writing right here. Right. Here.

Four friendships lost: Carmen died, and even though the break between us was because of things she did, it is only my fault we never made it up and there is no going back because she has died. When I finally got around to searching, I found only the notice of her mother’s death and it listed Carmen as among those predeceased. I did try to make it up with Pat and Denyce but they are still not speaking to me. Knowing how the break-up happened with women I once corresponded with near-daily does not help. That there was nothing terrible about the break-up from my point of view (we did not betray or steal anything, and I never stopped caring) does not alter the fact that they will not respond to me. I find it is my failure.

A fourth best friend from First Grade moved away when we were little. We shared a love of horses and she had horses.  Continue reading →